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Validation of using Gumbel Probability Plotting to estimate Gutenberg-Richter seismicity parameters

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conference contribution
posted on 06.12.2017, 00:00 by Michael Turnbull, D Weatherley
The Gumbel Type I statistics of extreme events have been successfully used in the past to forecast various natural events such as annual exceedence of design flood level, and hall fall. Some attempts have been made to determine seismicity parameters using the annual maximum magnitude events in historic records. The results from these determinations have invariably been criticized for various reasons, including the perception that the methodology ignores important data, and that the method has no verification basis. This paper address both topics by discussing the principles of the reliably deducing the Gutenberg-Richer seismicity parameters of complete synthetic earthquake calendars, using only the annual maxima

Funding

Category 1 - Australian Competitive Grants (this includes ARC, NHMRC)

History

Parent Title

Earthquake engineering in Australia : conference 2006 : proceedings of a conference held by the Australian Earthquake Engineering Society, Canberra, ACT, 24-26 November 2006

Start Page

127

End Page

135

Number of Pages

9

Start Date

01/01/2006

ISBN-10

0646469215

Location

Canberra, A.C.T.

Publisher

Australian Earthquake Engineering Society

Place of Publication

Canberra, ACT

Peer Reviewed

Yes

Open Access

No

External Author Affiliations

Faculty of Business and Informatics; University of Queensland;

Era Eligible

Yes

Name of Conference

Australian Earthquake Engineering Society. Conference